Summer 2022 EU short-term outlook: red meat summary

Tuesday, 19 July 2022

The latest EU short-term outlook has been released and here are the highlights:


  • EU beef production to decline -0.5% in 2022
  • Continuing high input prices, particularly for feed, may lead to additional slaughtering by the end of the year and lighter slaughter weights in feed-intensive production systems where costs will weigh more on farm profitability
  • The EU beef price has risen strongly since early 2021, due to both low supply at EU and global level, and improving demand after COVID-19
  • EU beef exports are expected to grow +4% in 2022
  • Beef imports are expected to recover by +15% in 2022 due to reopening of domestic food service, faster recovery of supply from Brazil and additional in-quota imports from Argentina


  • EU pig meat production to decline by -4.7% in 2022, pressured by high input costs, environmental concerns, reduced exports and ASF
  • Domestic consumption to decrease by -3.3%, averaging 31.7kg per capita
  • EU exports to China expected to decrease by -40% in 2022, returning to pre-ASF levels
  • Overall, EU pig meat exports are expected to decrease by -9.6% in 2022
  • EU pig meat imports from the UK are expected to increase by +34% in 2022
  • Total EU pig meat imports are due to increase by +28%


  • EU lamb prices remain at unprecedented high levels in 2022 due to low domestic supply against sustained demand
  • Sheep meat production is expected to remain stable in 2022
  • Substantial reduction of the flock will limit production increases in certain EU countries
  • High feed prices may lead to additional slaughtering and lighter slaughter weights in feed-intensive production systems
  • EU sheep meat exports to increase +2% in 2022, limited by a shortage in supply, continuing trade frictions with the UK and relatively high EU prices
  • High shipping costs are expected to limit overall sheep meat import growth to +6% in 2022, assuming no change in trade frictions with the UK
Image of staff member Freya Shuttleworth

Freya Shuttleworth

Senior Analyst (Livestock)

See full bio

Sign up for regular updates

You can subscribe to receive Beef and Lamb market news straight to your inbox. Simply fill in your contact details on our online form.

Visit the Keep in touch page

While AHDB seeks to ensure that the information contained on this webpage is accurate at the time of publication, no warranty is given in respect of the information and data provided. You are responsible for how you use the information. To the maximum extent permitted by law, AHDB accepts no liability for loss, damage or injury howsoever caused or suffered (including that caused by negligence) directly or indirectly in relation to the information or data provided in this publication.

All intellectual property rights in the information and data on this webpage belong to or are licensed by AHDB. You are authorised to use such information for your internal business purposes only and you must not provide this information to any other third parties, including further publication of the information, or for commercial gain in any way whatsoever without the prior written permission of AHDB for each third party disclosure, publication or commercial arrangement. For more information, please see our Terms of Use and Privacy Notice or contact the Director of Corporate Affairs at  © Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board. All rights reserved.