UK cereals supply and demand estimates

Updated 5 June 2019
The balance between supply and demand sets the overall tone of the domestic market. AHDB publishes forecasts of cereal supply and demand for the UK split into the areas of availability, consumption, exports and stocks.

Latest UK cereal supply and demand: May 2019

Key points
  • Lower UK wheat production has given the tightest wheat balance in five years; however, with minimal exports and competition from other grains, closing stocks are set to increase.
  • Despite a fall in domestic usage, barley closing stocks are estimated at the lowest level since 2012/13.
  • Maize imports are estimated to grow further, on the back of strong demand, to a new high in 2018/19.
  • Demand for oats by millers continues to be robust in 2018/19.

Download the third official 2018/19 UK supply and demand estimates

Historic UK supply and demand

Get involved

As part of our work on UK cereals supply and demand we run two groups to enhance our offering to the industry – the AHDB Cross Sector Working Group and the AHDB Audit Function Group.

The aim of the two groups is to gain more industry input into the balance sheet forecasts before they are finalised, as well as ensuring all data is up-to-date and accurate.

To find out more or if you are interested in joining either group, please do get in contact with the AHDB Balance Sheet Team at

Download terms of reference (TOR) for both groups.

AHDB cross sector working group - TOR AHDB audit function group - TOR

Additional information

On Friday 31 May 2019, Defra published revisions to the June survey crop areas for 2018 and associated datasets. Find out more about the revisions to the June crop areas here.

Next update: end-September 2019*

*subject to revision

Contact us

For further infomation please contact the AHDB Balance Sheet Team at