UK cereals supply and demand estimates

Updated 25 January 2024
The balance between supply and demand sets the overall tone of the domestic market. AHDB publishes forecasts of cereal supply and demand for the UK split into the areas of availability, consumption, exports and stocks.

Latest UK cereal supply and demand: January 2024

Key points

  • Reduced availability of wheat, combined with increased domestic consumption leads to a tighter wheat balance year-on-year. However, minimal exports and concerns over next season’s crop lead to the heaviest ending stocks since 2015/16.
  • For barley, much like wheat, despite a tighter balance on the year, reduced exports, and concerns over the 2024 crop leave the heaviest ending stocks since 2014/15.
  • Maize imports this season are expected to rise primarily due to increased usage by the bioethanol sector.
  • A smaller oat crop and average exports lead to the smallest ending stocks since 2012/13.
View the latest estimates

Historical UK supply and demand

Additional information

Next update: 28 March 2024

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