UK cereals supply and demand estimates

Updated 28 March 2024
The balance between supply and demand sets the overall tone of the domestic market. AHDB publishes forecasts of cereal supply and demand for the UK split into the areas of availability, consumption, exports and stocks.

Latest UK cereal supply and demand: March 2024

Key points

  • Despite above average domestic wheat consumption, heavy imports from growing concerns over next season’s crop, and minimal exports, leave well above average end of season stocks.
  • For barley, a tighter than average balance on the year remains. Though much like wheat, minimal exports and concerns over the 2024 crop leave the heaviest ending stocks since 2014/15.
  • Due to increased H&I usage, maize imports are expected to rise on year earlier levels, though remain below the previous five-year average.
  • Reduced availability of oats, combined with average exports, leads to the smallest ending stocks forecast since 2011/12.
View the latest estimates

Historical UK supply and demand

Additional information

Next update: 30 May 2024

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