UK cereals supply and demand estimates

• The 2025/26 AHDB Early Balance Sheet provides the first look at wheat and barley supply and demand for this season.
• The drop in estimated imports outweighs the rise in production and decrease in total domestic consumption, leading to a tighter wheat balance sheet in 2025/26.
• Similarly for barley, the drop in availability (driven by a fall in production) outweighs the drop in consumption, leading to a much tighter balance sheet in 2025/26.

Next update: 27 November 2025 (provisional)

Human and industrial, animal feed and cereal stocks datasets, produced by AHDB, are used to underpin these AHDB UK cereals supply and demand estimates.

Data produced by Defra, the Scottish Government, DEARA and HMRC are also critical in compiling the estimates.

All publications from the Defra Farming Statistics Team are available on GOV.UK, along with a publication release calendar listing all pre-announced dates for Defra’s farming statistics.

Information on the data sources used to compile the end-season UK cereals supply and demand estimates can be found here.

For further information please contact the AHDB Market Specialist team at Cereals.MI@ahdb.org.uk.

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