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UK cereals supply and demand estimates
The balance between supply and demand sets the overall tone of the domestic market. AHDB publishes forecasts of cereal supply and demand for the UK split into the areas of availability, consumption, exports and stocks.
Latest UK cereal supply and demand: September 2024
Key points
- Domestic consumption remained historically strong throughout the 2023/24 season, though heavy imports saw end of season stocks at their largest this century.*
- The barley supply and demand balance remained tighter than average in 2023/24. As with wheat, heavy imports and minimal exports leave historically heavy ending stocks.*
- With a firm pace towards the end of the season, imports of maize were above the five-year average in the 2023/24 season, with domestic consumption at its highest since 2020/21.
- Despite reduced domestic consumption, a smaller oat crop and minimal imports, combined with a firmer than average export pace, leads to the smallest ending stocks since 2019/20.
*Please note that due to the unusual nature of the 2023/24 season and subsequent data gaps, an adjusted comerical end-season stocks figure has been used in the wheat and barley balance sheets. In order to avoid any future misreporting in the MPC figures specifically, a review of this survey will be carried out, and actions implemented before the release of the February 2025 stocks data.
Historical UK supply and demand
- 26/09/2024: AHDB 2023/24 September balance sheet
- 30/05/2024: AHDB 2023/24 May balance sheet
- 28/03/2024: AHDB 2023/24 March balance sheet
- 25/01/2024: AHDB 2023/24 January balance sheet
- 28/11/2023: AHDB 2023/24 November balance sheet
- 17/10/2023: AHDB 2023/24 early balance sheet
- 21/09/2023: End of season 2022/23 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 25/05/2023: AHDB 2022/23 May balance sheet
- 30/03/2023: AHDB 2022/23 March balance sheet
- 26/01/2023: AHDB 2022/23 January balance sheet
- 22/11/2022: AHDB 2022/23 November balance sheet
- 20/10/2022: AHDB 2022/23 early balance sheet
- 29/09/2022: End of season 2021/22 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 26/05/2022: May 2022 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 24/03/2022: March 2022 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 27/01/2022: January 2022 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 25/11/2021: November 2021 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 28/10/2021: AHDB 2021/22 early balance sheets
- 23/09/21: End of season 2020/21 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 27/05/21: Third official 2020/21 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 24/02/21: Second official 2020/21 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 26/11/20: First official 2020/21 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 23/10/20: AHDB 2020/21 early balance sheets
- 24/09/20: End of season 2019/20 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 28/05/20: Third official 2019/20 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 27/02/20: Second official 2019/20 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 28/11/19: First official 2019/20 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 14/10/19: AHDB 2019/20 early balance sheets
- 19/09/19: End of season 2018/19 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 05/06/19: Third official 2018/19 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 28/02/19: Second official 2018/19 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 29/11/18: First official 2018/19 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 15/10/18: AHDB 2018/19 early balance sheets
- 27/09/18: End of season 2017/18 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 24/05/18: Third official 2017/18 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 01/03/18: Second official 2017/18 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 29/11/17: First official 2017/18 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 10/10/17: AHDB 2017/18 early balance sheets
- 29/11/17: End of season 2016/17 UK cereal supply and demand estimates - residuals unallocated
- 29/09/17: End of season 2016/17 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 21/06/17: Third official 2016/17 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 01/03/17: Second official 2016/17 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 01/12/16: First official 2016/17 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 11/10/16: AHDB 2016/17 wheat and barley early balance sheets
- 11/10/16: End of season 2015/16 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 25/05/16: Third official 2015/16 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 24/02/16: Second official 2015/16 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 25/11/15: First official 2015/16 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 13/10/15: AHDB 2015/16 wheat and barley early balance sheets
- 28/09/15: End of season 2014/15 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 21/05/15: Fourth official 2014/15 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 26/03/15: Third official 2014/15 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 28/01/15: Second official 2014/15 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 26/11/14: First official 2014/15 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 13/10/14: AHDB 2014/15 wheat and barley early balance sheets
- 22/09/14: End of season 2013/14 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 22/05/14: Fourth official 2013/14 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 26/03/14: Third official 2013/14 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 29/01/14: Second official 2013/14 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 27/11/13: First official 2013/14 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 14/10/13: AHDB 2013/14 wheat and barley early balance sheets
Additional information
Next update: October 2024
Contact us
For further information please contact the AHDB Market Specialist team at Cereals.MI@ahdb.org.uk.
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