UK cereals supply and demand estimates
Updated 24 February 2021
The balance between supply and demand sets the overall tone of the domestic market. AHDB publishes forecasts of cereal supply and demand for the UK split into the areas of availability, consumption, exports and stocks.
Latest UK cereal supply and demand: February 2021
Key points
- Wheat consumption at lowest levels on record is not enough to ease tightness of the balance sheet.
- Total availability of barley reduced as Defra cut production estimate.
- Increased maize imports means total availability is 7% higher year on year.
- Oat production is well above the 5-year average leading to highest recorded levels of domestic consumption.
Previous 2020/21 estimates
First official 2020/21 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
AHDB 2020/21 wheat and barley early balance sheets
Historic UK supply and demand
- 24/09/20: End of season 2019/20 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 28/05/20: Third official 2019/20 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 27/02/20: Second official 2019/20 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 28/11/19: First official 2019/20 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 14/10/19: AHDB 2019/20 early balance sheets
- 19/09/19: End of season 2018/19 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 05/06/19: Third official 2018/19 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 28/02/19: Second official 2018/19 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 29/11/18: First official 2018/19 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 15/10/18: AHDB 2018/19 early balance sheets
- 27/09/18: End of season 2017/18 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 24/05/18: Third official 2017/18 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 01/03/18: Second official 2017/18 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 29/11/17: First official 2017/18 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 10/10/17: AHDB 2017/18 early balance sheets
- 29/11/17: End of season 2016/17 UK cereal supply and demand estimates - residuals unallocated
- 29/09/17: End of season 2016/17 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 21/06/17: Third official 2016/17 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 01/03/17: Second official 2016/17 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 01/12/16: First official 2016/17 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 11/10/16: AHDB 2016/17 wheat and barley early balance sheets
- 11/10/16: End of season 2015/16 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 25/05/16: Third official 2015/16 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 24/02/16: Second official 2015/16 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 25/11/15: First official 2015/16 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 13/10/15: AHDB 2015/16 wheat and barley early balance sheets
- 28/09/15: End of season 2014/15 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 21/05/15: Fourth official 2014/15 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 26/03/15: Third official 2014/15 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 28/01/15: Second official 2014/15 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 26/11/14: First official 2014/15 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 13/10/14: AHDB 2014/15 wheat and barley early balance sheets
- 22/09/14: End of season 2013/14 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 22/05/14: Fourth official 2013/14 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 26/03/14: Third official 2013/14 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 29/01/14: Second official 2013/14 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 27/11/13: First official 2013/14 UK cereal supply and demand estimates
- 14/10/13: AHDB 2013/14 wheat and barley early balance sheets
Get involved
As part of our work on UK cereals supply and demand we run two groups to enhance our offering to the industry – the AHDB Cross Sector Working Group and the AHDB Audit Function Group.
The aim of the two groups is to gain more industry input into the balance sheet forecasts before they are finalised, as well as ensuring all data is up-to-date and accurate.
To find out more or if you are interested in joining either group, please do get in contact with the AHDB Balance Sheet Team at balance.sheet.team@ahdb.org.uk
Download terms of reference (TOR) for both groups.
AHDB cross sector working group - TOR
AHDB audit function group - TOR
Additional information
Next update: by 27 May 2021*
*subject to revision
Contact us
For further infomation please contact the AHDB Balance Sheet Team at balance.sheet.team@ahdb.org.uk