UK cereals supply and demand estimates

Updated 28 November 2019
The balance between supply and demand sets the overall tone of the domestic market. AHDB publishes forecasts of cereal supply and demand for the UK split into the areas of availability, consumption, exports and stocks.

Latest UK cereal supply and demand: November 2019

Key points
  • Considerably higher levels of UK wheat production combined with relatively stable domestic consumption has led to the largest wheat balance since 2015/16.
  • The surplus of barley available for either export or free stock is forecast at the highest level in four years.
  • Maize imports are estimated to fall back, but remain higher than the previous five year average.
  • Oat output is estimated to be the highest in over 45 years. With no clear market signals to where this larger volume will go, there is a level of uncertainty around actual export and closing stocks at this point.

Download the first official 2019/20 UK supply and demand estimates

Historic UK supply and demand

Get involved

As part of our work on UK cereals supply and demand we run two groups to enhance our offering to the industry – the AHDB Cross Sector Working Group and the AHDB Audit Function Group.

The aim of the two groups is to gain more industry input into the balance sheet forecasts before they are finalised, as well as ensuring all data is up-to-date and accurate.

To find out more or if you are interested in joining either group, please do get in contact with the AHDB Balance Sheet Team at

Download terms of reference (TOR) for both groups.

AHDB cross sector working group - TOR AHDB audit function group - TOR

Additional information

Next update: 27 February 2020* 

*subject to revision

Contact us

For further infomation please contact the AHDB Balance Sheet Team at