Contents tagged with Analyst Insight

Domestic premiums firm, but how long will it last? Analyst Insight

27 August 2020

Domestic premiums firm, but how long will it last? Analyst Insight

It’ll be no surprise to anyone that we are currently experiencing unprecedented circumstances in terms of wheat production in the UK. It is highly anticipated, as I mentioned last week, that the UK wheat crop will be the smallest since 1982, and potentially lower than that.

AMPE-2020 and MCVE-2020 launched

30 January 2024

AMPE-2020 and MCVE-2020 launched

We are pleased to launch the new 2020 versions of AMPE and MCVE from this month.

Analyst Insight: Harvest progression report could quantify some of GB’s production

20 August 2020

Analyst Insight: Harvest progression report could quantify some of GB’s production

The second harvest progress report released last Friday provided an insight into potentially putting some figures the production of crops for 2020 harvest.

Analyst Insight: can I still dry my barley for an export market?

20 August 2020

Analyst Insight: can I still dry my barley for an export market?

Recent adverse weather and precipitation will slow the rapid pace of harvest that we’ve seen in the last few weeks.

Analyst Insight: Maize more important than ever to wheat prices in 2020/21

13 August 2020

Analyst Insight: Maize more important than ever to wheat prices in 2020/21

With England and Scotland wheat production likely to be sub-10.2Mt, and despite opening stocks around 3.4Mt, we are facing a pretty significant deficit. In theory, we could make up much of this shortfall with imported wheat or maize. This season, in the wake of coronavirus capping ethanol demand, maize is exceedingly cheap. As a result the hole in grain for animal feed, ethanol and distilling will more than likely be filled by imported maize. This increased demand for maize is exacerbated by the tariffs set to be applied to wheat imports from January, whilst maize can be imported tariff free.
How are UK wheat import origins faring? Analyst Insight

30 July 2020

How are UK wheat import origins faring? Analyst Insight

Domestic wheat prices will be more exposed to global fundamentals this season following the hefty decline to UK wheat production estimates. We are likely to sit closer to import parity levels.
Analyst Insight: Regional wheat deficits could support delivered premiums going into 2020/21

16 July 2020

Analyst Insight: Regional wheat deficits could support delivered premiums going into 2020/21

Last week we published the results of the 2020 AHDB planting and variety survey (PVS). Unsurprisingly, estimated wheat areas were down year-on-year across all regions of GB.

Proposed changes to AMPE and MCVE calculations

30 January 2024

Proposed changes to AMPE and MCVE calculations

Our latest review of the way the indicators are calculated means some changes are proposed.
Dairy – looking beyond coronavirus

24 April 2025

Dairy – looking beyond coronavirus

A contraction in world trade, uncertain UK trading conditions, domestic consumers changing how they consume dairy and ever-challenging weather extremes. In this article we take a long-term view of what could shape the UK dairy industry over the coming years, and how to best equip ourselves to take advantage.
Red meat – taking a longer view

28 January 2021

Red meat – taking a longer view

This article focuses on the main factors that will influence the red meat sector in the coming years, particularly in light of the two major events of 2020, the coronavirus outbreak, and the upcoming deadline for Brexit.
UK rapeseed; short and long term market factors: Analyst Insight

25 June 2020

UK rapeseed; short and long term market factors: Analyst Insight

What might affect the price direction of new-crop rapeseed? With harvest rapidly approaching, let’s revisit these factors and the impact they could have.
Spring milk curbing reduces production forecast

30 January 2024

Spring milk curbing reduces production forecast

Our June forecast sets production expectations for the season at 12,437 million litres, down 0.7% on 2019/20.

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