Pig market monthly update - September 2022
Thursday, 6 October 2022
Prices
GB deadweight pig prices moved above the landmark £2/kg price in September as markets remain strong. However, weekly price increases have been more subdued in recent weeks compared to earlier in the year.
EU deadweight pig prices have seen steady increases in recent weeks sitting at a discount of between 13p to 42p to UK prices. As demand begins to seasonally pick up, supplies are expected to tighten, which could add further pressure to prices.
Costs
Input prices are still high, remaining significantly above year earlier figures. Despite record high pig prices, they remain some way off covering the estimated cost of production. Although feed ingredient prices have eased from pre-harvest highs, tight supplies are keeping prices supported. The recent drop in sterling to a record low against the US dollar will add continued pressure to farmer margins as imported inputs, often priced in US dollars, will see prices rise.
Production and trade
UK pig meat production rose in August on the back of increased slaughter as carcase weights continued their downward trend from the beginning of the year.
Growth in exports and imports for all key product categories has led UK pig meat trade to shift closer to pre-pandemic levels. Lost trade volumes to China have predominantly been absorbed by higher shipments to the EU. In addition, the opening of new markets in Mexico and Chile will provide more opportunities to UK exporters.
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