Improved performance will drive EU milk production growth

Thursday, 19 December 2019

By Jennie Tanner

EU milk production is expected to increase 1% per year to 2030, according to the latest EU Medium Term Outlook. Production growth will be constrained by requirements to reduce greenhouse gases, phosphate emissions and nitrates. Farming practises, particularly in herd management and nutrition, will likely be adapted to focus on yields. This in turn should lead to smaller herds and therefore lower emissions.

Shifts in consumer’s preferences towards sustainable production is also expected to drive change in terms of production systems. The expectation is that this will lead to higher internal demand for organic, pasture based and locally sourced milk.

With lower growth in milk production, the EU is only expected to contribute 8% to global milk growth by 2030. The projected global increase is almost 14m tonnes per year, higher than the last decade.

The majority of this will growth is predicted to occur in developing countries, with India, Asia (other than China and Japan), and Africa increasing their self- sufficiency. As such, global import growth is expected to slow down over the next decade to less than 0.9million tonnes a year by 2030 (from 2.1 million tonnes), and be predominantly focussed on powders and cheese.


Sign up for regular updates

You can subscribe to receive Dairy market news straight to your inbox. Simply fill in your contact details on our online form and select the information you wish to receive.

Visit the Keep in touch page

While AHDB seeks to ensure that the information contained on this webpage is accurate at the time of publication, no warranty is given in respect of the information and data provided. You are responsible for how you use the information. To the maximum extent permitted by law, AHDB accepts no liability for loss, damage or injury howsoever caused or suffered (including that caused by negligence) directly or indirectly in relation to the information or data provided in this publication.

All intellectual property rights in the information and data on this webpage belong to or are licensed by AHDB. You are authorised to use such information for your internal business purposes only and you must not provide this information to any other third parties, including further publication of the information, or for commercial gain in any way whatsoever without the prior written permission of AHDB for each third party disclosure, publication or commercial arrangement. For more information, please see our Terms of Use and Privacy Notice or contact the Director of Corporate Affairs at info@ahdb.org.uk  © Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board. All rights reserved. 

Sectors:

Tags:

×