Monday, 2 December 2019
By Kat Jack
UK imports of Irish Cheddar in 2019 are on track to be the highest for at least twenty years.
Imports of Irish Cheddar totalled just under 90,000 tonnes between January and September 2019. This is up 24% on the same period in 2018, which in turn was up 15% on Jan-Sep 2017. Since 1999, the highest full-year import figures were just under 100,000 tonnes – in 2008 and 2018. This year, imports are already at 90% of this total with three months still to go, so a new record looks highly likely.
In 2018, we identified Brexit as a probable driver for the boost in UK imports of Irish Cheddar. According to press reports at the time, Irish processors were stockpiling Cheddar in the UK as a safeguard against a no-deal Brexit. This would enable them to keep supplying supermarkets without a tariff-related price hike, at least while stocks last. It would also reduce the opportunity for domestic producers to displace Irish supply should trade become more difficult, at least in the short term.
In 2019, import growth was driven by trade in Q1 and Q3, in advance of the two previous Brexit dates. Therefore it seems likely that this is still the motivation behind the increased imports.
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