Autumn survey of wheat bulb fly incidence
Downloads21510022 annual project report (2021) PR624 interim report 2021 (wheat shoot number prediction model) 21120003 annual project report (2020) PR624 interim report 2020 (wheat bulb fly risk prediction model) 21120003 annual project report 2019 21120003 annual project report 2018 21120003 annual project report 2017 21120003 annual project report 2016 21120003 annual project report 2015 21120003 annual project report 2014 21120003 annual project report 2013 21120003 annual project report 2012 21120003 annual project report 2011
About this project
With the exception of oats, all cereals can be attacked by wheat bulb fly (WBF). Damage is most frequently reported in winter wheat. The pest is most prevalent in eastern England but numbers fluctuate considerably from year to year. Due to recent withdrawals, chemical control options are limited to seed treatments. The thresholds for treatment are as follows:
- Early-sown wheat crops (before November) are unlikely to benefit from seed treatment
- For late-sown wheat crops (November to December), seed treatments should be considered where WBF populations exceed 100 eggs/m2
- For very late-sown crops (January), seed treatments should be considered irrespective of the WBF population size (unless no eggs are present)
*An autumn survey of the pest levels, based on egg extraction from soil samples, has been conducted since 1984. The survey results help the industry make crop management decisions, especially those relating to seed treatments. However, the survey approach is relatively costly and time consuming. As a result, there is a need to identify alternative approaches to assess WBF risk.
Note: Drill treated seed at the recommended depth of 2.4–4.0 cm in a firm, even seedbed. Signal 300 ES (cypermethrin) seed treatment must only be applied to cereal seed sown in the autumn/winter. Treated seed must not be sown after 31 January, as this is defined as the end of the winter period by CRD.
This project will support the long-term monitoring of WBF through the traditional autumn survey. The survey involves taking soil samples in September from 30 fields prone to WBF attack (split equally across sites located in the East and North of England) and calculating the number of WBF eggs per square metre. An early indication of risk, based on a subset of sites, is published in September. The final indication of risk, based on all sites, is published in October.
The work will also investigate the potential to predict WBF risk using a meteorological model. A molecular method to detect WBF DNA in soil samples will also be validated as part of the project.
The project will indicate the need for seed treatment against WBF. It will also investigate more rapid, lower-cost monitoring methods. If an indication of WBF risk can be provided earlier in the autumn, better decisions on seed treatment, sowing date and seed rate could be made.
Results will be added to this page as they become available.
North of England (final results for autumn 2021)
Of the 15 sites assessed:
- 11 were in the low-risk category (<100 eggs/m2)
- Three were in the moderate-risk category (101–249 eggs/m2)
- One was in the high-risk category (250–500 eggs/m2)
- None was in the very high-risk category (<500 eggs/m2)
The highest egg count in this region is 253 eggs/m2, following vining peas at a site in North Yorkshire. The average egg count is 95/m2.
East of England (final results for autumn 2021)
Of the 15 sites assessed:
- Nine were in the low-risk category (<100 eggs/m2)
- Two were in the moderate-risk category (101–249 eggs/m2)
- Three were in the high-risk category (250–500 eggs/m2)
- One was in the very high-risk category (<500 eggs/m2)
The highest egg count in this region is 582 eggs/m2, following beetroot at a site in Norfolk. The average egg count is 143/m2.
Summary (all sites)
Overall risk has been relatively low for the last 10 years. Although the 2021 results make it one of the higher-risk years in this period, it is still below the long-term (1984–21) average. In 2021, 17% of sites were above 250 eggs/m2 – the long-term average is 19%.
For late-sown wheat crops (November to December), seed treatments should be considered where populations exceed 100 eggs/m2 – 40% and 27% of sites were above this threshold in eastern England and northern England, respectively.
For further information, download the 2021 annual report.