GB milk production in November another 25 year high

Friday, 11 December 2020

By Chris Gooderham

According to our survey, November deliveries are provisionally put at 1,009m litres, 2.0% above last year and the highest November volume since 1995. This is despite a revision to the weighting we use to convert survey results into an estimate for the whole country.

As a result of disruption to markets earlier this year, we have seen a number of farmers moving milk buyer recently, and this has thrown out our estimates of milk deliveries. Over the last 2 months, these movements have meant the coverage in our weekly milk production survey has increased from 76.3% to 77.6% of total production in GB. While at first glance that might not seem like a significant change, in reality it would alter the estimate for the whole of GB by some 18m litres per month. While we had factored in an increase in the weighting because of those movements, the latest data suggests we underestimated the changes that took effect from 1st October.

The latest re-weighting puts GB milk deliveries in October at 1,025m litres, 0.6% above October last year.

Image not found

The solution to further improving the accuracy of our estimates is for more companies to get involved in the weekly milk deliveries survey. By doing so, our coverage will increase, limiting the risk of farmers moving from a company outside the survey to one within it, or vice-versa. If you are a milk buyer and would like to discuss how you can get involved, please get in contact.

Chris Gooderham

Head of Market Specialists - Dairy & Livestock

Sign up for regular updates

You can subscribe to receive Dairy market news straight to your inbox. Simply fill in your contact details on our online form and select the information you wish to receive.

Visit the Keep in touch page

While AHDB seeks to ensure that the information contained on this webpage is accurate at the time of publication, no warranty is given in respect of the information and data provided. You are responsible for how you use the information. To the maximum extent permitted by law, AHDB accepts no liability for loss, damage or injury howsoever caused or suffered (including that caused by negligence) directly or indirectly in relation to the information or data provided in this publication.

All intellectual property rights in the information and data on this webpage belong to or are licensed by AHDB. You are authorised to use such information for your internal business purposes only and you must not provide this information to any other third parties, including further publication of the information, or for commercial gain in any way whatsoever without the prior written permission of AHDB for each third party disclosure, publication or commercial arrangement. For more information, please see our Terms of Use and Privacy Notice or contact the Director of Corporate Affairs at  © Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board. All rights reserved.