5 December 2019

Bearish global price trends and strengthening currency are now the predominant driving force behind UK futures markets.

5 December 2019

With it being assumed that Vivergo Fuels will remain offline for the rest of the 2019/20, what are the prospects for wheat consumption by UK flour millers (including bioethanol and starch)?

28 November 2019

As rain continues to fall across the UK, progress in winter plantings remains hampered. According to the Environment Agency, England received 143% of the long term average rainfall in August-October, making 2019 the third wettest year in the last 20. Furthermore, rainfall in November has totalled 101% of the long term average so far.

26 November 2019

An early recording of GB planting intentions for the 2020 harvest suggests a sharp fall in winter crops, largely because of the extremely wet weather throughout the autumn planting window.

21 November 2019

With the adverse conditions directly impacting winter plantings across the UK, thoughts turn to what will be in the ground come harvest 2020.

14 November 2019

The UK’s trade position on global markets can change each season. In years of lower wheat production, the UK’s stance will turn to a net importer.

7 November 2019

With questions regarding the wheat supply for the UK next year, to what extent could a potential deficit support prices?

31 October 2019

Wet weather has dominated much of the UK since mid-September, causing delays to drilling of winter cereal crops.

24 October 2019

Dryness during planting in Brazil and Argentina has caused some concern in recent weeks. While there is still time to get crops in the ground without yields being impacted, further delays could cause knock-on impacts into other crops.

17 October 2019

Defra's release of their 2019 provisional crop estimates lead to the publish of the early balance sheet on Monday.

10 October 2019

Exports this season so far have seen elevated levels to ship prior to 31 October. Corn return Feed wheat volumes for July-October delivery have reached record levels of 1.07Mt (to 03 October).

3 October 2019

On Tuesday we published the second provisional results of the Cereal Quality Survey. The results are now beginning to reflect some of the challenges facing the industry with this year’s wheat crop.

26 September 2019

This season UK barley production looks on track to hit c.7.3Mt, the highest level of production since 2015/16.

19 September 2019

Removal of tariffs would expose the UK cereal market to global prices, but would the domestic market feel an impact?

12 September 2019

The UK will need to price competitively against the likes of both the Black Sea region and France, key competitors to UK trade into non-EU markets.

5 September 2019

The UK wheat harvest is now nearing completion, if yields continue in line with current estimates we tentatively forecast production of wheat at 15.9-16.2Mt. In a “normal” year the surplus wheat would find an export home primarily in the EU. However, this year is far from “normal”.

29 August 2019

The potential for a 7.3Mt+ crop of barley is looming for the 2019/20 season with harvest almost complete.

22 August 2019

Hard Brexit analysis of potential impacts facing UK markets in 2019/20.

19 August 2019

Tariffs? Tariff rate quotas? Allocations? We increasingly hear these terms as we approach 31 October Brexit deadline.

15 August 2019

In the week ending 08 August 2019, spot ex-farm purchases hit 63Kt, the first time barley purchases have reached that amount on records going back to July 2000. Moreover, cumulative, spot purchases of feed barley have accelerated to 235Kt, a figure not reached until April last season.

8 August 2019

Although the oilseed rape outlook is for a large deficit during 2019/20, prices have been unable to continually climb due to a global oversupply of soyabeans.

1 August 2019

The global wheat market continues to look well supplied, although there are still areas that could cap future losses.

25 July 2019

Following what has been an unfavourable growing season for oilseed rape, both in the EU and across Europe, imports are going to be essential.

12 July 2019

UK oat production looks set to be the highest since 1973.

31 May 2019

This morning Defra have released key updates to the June Survey area data. This is after a detailed investigation into both the June Survey and BPS dataset following the variance in English crop area reported between the two surveys in early February.

30 April 2019

Following the decision by Defra to release two data sets for the English cropping areas, there have been questions regarding what the ‘true’ area is.